Research Roundup
Date: December 9, 2008
The near future:
This was another useful posting from the Marketing Charts website: http://www.marketingcharts.com/topics/behavioral-marketing/restaurants-green-products-big-losers-as-pessimistic-consumers-cut-back-6868/. The full report can be downloaded from http://www.markettools.com/forms/resource_13.php (registration required).
Date: December 9, 2008
The near future:
- “Many Nonprofits Will Not Survive Economic Crisis,” reports the Business Committee for the Arts: “NYU Professor Paul Light predicts that 100,000 nonprofits nationwide will have to shut down as a result of the financial crisis. The panel, hosted by the Foundation Center in New York City, suggests nonprofits collaborate on back office support and health care plans and think about new ways of operating. For information, www.crainsnewyork.com.”
- Meanwhile, “the 2008 State New Economy Index, released by the Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation and the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, is a state-by-state analysis of the economic structures that are leading the United States’ transformation into a global, entrepreneurial and knowledge- and innovation-based New Economy.” For more, see http://www.kauffman.org/Details.aspx?id=5812.
- This teaser from the Harris Poll says it all:
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According to this survey, a majority of American adults are even more pessimistic about how the economy as a whole will fare in the next six months (53% versus just 24% who are optimistic), and 64% of them say they are planning to cut back on spending for entertainment in the next six months. For more details, see the full results of the survey, Attitudes on Economy Remain Bleak; Spending Over Next Six Months Unlikely on Most Large Items, Entertainment and Dining Out.
- Conference: “Making Futures: The Crafts in the Context of Global Sustainability and Environmental Issues.” Scheduled for September 17-18, 2009, at the “magnificently sited Mount Edgcumbe estate on the River Tamar opposite the city of Plymouth, Devon, UK.” The aims of the conference are “to improve understanding of the ways in which the contemporary crafts are responding to ideas and agendas connected with global environmental and sustainability issues. Also, to try to discern whether these new imperatives present opportunities for the crafts to redefine and reconstitute themselves as less marginalised, more centrally productive forces in society.” For more details, visit http://makingfutures.pcad.ac.uk.
- Screen time is on the rise! According to a new study from The Nielsen Company, “US usage of TV, the internet and mobile — the ‘three screens’ — continues to increase across the board, and in each month during Q3 2008, the average American watched approximately 142 hours of TV, viewed three hours of mobile video, and went online for 27 hours.” For more details, see the Nielsen press release and blog entry — or pull yourself away from at least one of the screens and read the full report.
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- Everyone’s gaming! Nearly all American teens (97%), and more than half of adults over 18 (53%) say they play video games. More than a fifth of adults (21%) play video games every day or almost every day. These and other fascinating online trends are documented in a new report from the Pew Internet Project. For a brief overview, see the Pew press release or this posting from the Marketing Charts website. (Fortunately, for old-fashioned fans of narrative, an essayist for England’s Telegraph newspaper argues that “Grand Theft Auto, Twitter and Beowulf all demonstrate that stories will never die.”)
- But leisure time is shrinking … according to the latest Harris Poll: “Evidently the stock markets aren’t the only indices declining this year. America’s leisure time is shrinking, and how we spend that time is changing too. Results from The Harris Poll, which has been tracking America’s leisure time since 1973, show the median number of leisure hours available each week dropped 20% in 2008, from 20 hours in 2007, to an all-time low of only 16 hours this year.” For more of the restless details, visit http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=980.
- And consumer spending is down, with green consumer goods taking some of the hardest hits. “Some 58% of Americans feel that the economy has reached a low point and nearly half (47%) think it will stay this way for a while, prompting spending cutbacks on nearly everything — from charitable contributions to dining out to beauty and grooming products, according to the November/December 2008 Insight Report from MarketTools, Inc. …
The research also found that while environmentally friendly or ‘green’ products have become increasingly available in stores in recent years, the economic downturn is affecting purchases of these more expensive options:
Only 8% of Americans are such strongly committed buyers of green products that they will pay more for them despite the economy, while about half (47% ) of consumers are less likely to pay a premium for green products during tough economic times.
Nearly four in ten consumers (38%) are not willing to pay a premium for green products regardless of the state of the economy.
68% of Americans buy green products at least occasionally and 18% of respondents opt for green choices either ‘most of the time’ or ‘all of the time.’
Generation Y is especially likely (22%) to buy green products most or all of the time.”
Nearly four in ten consumers (38%) are not willing to pay a premium for green products regardless of the state of the economy.
68% of Americans buy green products at least occasionally and 18% of respondents opt for green choices either ‘most of the time’ or ‘all of the time.’
Generation Y is especially likely (22%) to buy green products most or all of the time.”
This was another useful posting from the Marketing Charts website: http://www.marketingcharts.com/topics/behavioral-marketing/restaurants-green-products-big-losers-as-pessimistic-consumers-cut-back-6868/. The full report can be downloaded from http://www.markettools.com/forms/resource_13.php (registration required).
- While the American population ages. According to Alvaro Fernandez, CEO of SharpBrains (a “cognitive fitness” consulting firm), “The world is aging — and in healthier ways. But our healthcare and retirement systems are on track to go bankrupt — their premises are outdated. The current disease-based research agenda compounds the problem. Solutions? 1) Promote Healthy Lifestyles that help Maintain Physical and Cognitive Functional Abilities, 2) Redesign Environments to Foster Health, Engagement and Financial Security, 3) Develop an Integrated Healthy Living & Aging Research Agenda.” For more, see The Future of the Aging Society: Burden or Human Capital?
- Julia F. Lowell, State Arts Policy: Trends and Future Prospects (RAND Corporation, 2008). “Examines how some state arts agencies are expanding their mission, strengthening their ties with state government, and utilizing policy tools beyond grantmaking. Outlines possible changes to the distribution of state arts resources and other implications.” From the Foundation Center’s PubHub.
- Community Service and Service-Learning in America’s Schools 2008, from the Corporation for National and Community Service, finds that 68% of all K-12 schools offered or recognized service opportunities for their students, up from 64% in a similar study conducted in 1999. High schools are especially supportive of community service, with a whopping 86% recognizing student service, up from 83% in 1999. However, while school-based community service has remained robust, the percentage of schools with service learning has declined from 32% in 1999 to 24% in 2008. (We do not know how many service-learning opportunities involve local museums, but we should.)
- Australian researchers Christine Burton and Janette Griffin “report on the findings of three case studies of regional museums, which aimed to understand how small museums contribute to social capital in their community. The findings suggest that the different nature of the museums’ locations results in variation in social impacts. However, in all three cases bonding networks were more strongly evidenced than bridging networks. The findings also suggest that residents place more trust in museums when the location is more demographically homogenous.” Burton and Griffin, “More than a museum? Understanding how small museums contribute to social capital in regional communities,” Asia Pacific Journal of Arts & Cultural Management 5:1 (2008), pp. 314-332. This summary is from the Impact Database at the Centre for Cultural Policy Research, University of Glasgow, http://www.impact.arts.gla.ac.uk/newsletters/impact_update1108/.
- “5 Ways Social Media Will Change Recorded History” (from the Mashable blog, November 18, 2008):
This entry combine a short view of history, an inflated view of the new social media, and some real insights into how the digital trail of social media can be used to make better predications about the future.
The first two tendencies are on display in the introduction: “History tends to remember only pivotal moments in time, discarding the day to day struggles. Even when the occasional diary survives, it only archives what one person does — it doesn’t track his or her interactions with others. But with social media … [f]or the first time in human history, the day-to-day interactions between people are being permanently recorded and formatted in easily organizable segments of information.”
The insights come in two of the subheadings: “Historical trend analysis will leap to a new level of precision” (by providing an archive of raw material that can be extrapolated into future trends) and “We will not use history to learn from our mistakes, but to prevent them before they happen.”
The first two tendencies are on display in the introduction: “History tends to remember only pivotal moments in time, discarding the day to day struggles. Even when the occasional diary survives, it only archives what one person does — it doesn’t track his or her interactions with others. But with social media … [f]or the first time in human history, the day-to-day interactions between people are being permanently recorded and formatted in easily organizable segments of information.”
The insights come in two of the subheadings: “Historical trend analysis will leap to a new level of precision” (by providing an archive of raw material that can be extrapolated into future trends) and “We will not use history to learn from our mistakes, but to prevent them before they happen.”
- “Hammer Web Site Raises the Bar for Museum Offerings” (from the Chronicle of Higher Education’s Wired Campus newsletter, November 19, 2008):
For an art gallery, the Armand Hammer Museum of Art has always been both interactive and inventive. The museum — which is part of the University of California at Los Angeles — not only offers patrons a wide variety of talks, readings, screenings, and field trips, but it also goes outside the box when it organizes exhibitions. On Monday, though, the museum surpassed itself -- and every other museum I can think of, either on a campus or off -- by unveiling a new Web site that all but vibrates with podcasts, video recordings of presentations, blog posts, slide shows, and more. Many museums offer images of works in their collections or in special exhibitions, along with calendar listings, directions, and hours, but usually that's about it. At the Hammer site, so much is available online that even those of us several time zones away have plenty to enjoy and learn from. And people who live in Los Angeles couldn't possibly attend all of the museum's events in person, so archiving presentations online benefits Angelenos as well. Among the site's current offerings — check the "Watch + Listen" tab — are a video of a screening of several delightful Brent Green short films (with live musical accompaniment), podcasts of a lecture by the artist William Christenberry and a reading by the writer Michael Ondaatje (author of The English Patient and much more), and a recording of a conversation between Leon Botstein, the conductor and Bard College president, and Frank Gehry, the architect. And this is, presumably, just the start. If the museum keeps adding to what's online now, within a few years the site will be a treasure trove. Making so much smart content available free online is a tremendous service to art and culture — a service other university museums would do well to study. — Lawrence Biemiller
- “Beyond the iPhone: What Will Technology Look Like in 2018?”: http://aspire.princeton.edu/ag/media/technology/ A very quick distillation (under three minutes) of a recent panel on the future of technology held at Princeton University. (Feel free to ignore the pitch for alumni giving at the end of the video.) The key themes: ubiquitous computing, faster processing, virtually unlimited (and cheap) memory, and a leading role for the free market in promoting technological innovation.
- The Fan Cost Index can tell you how much it cost a family of four to attend a major-league sporting event (football, basketball, hockey, or baseball – including a few minor-league baseball cities), in any city, from 1991 to the present. Hint: visiting a museum is a lot cheaper!
- Make-a-Flake, the virtual snowflake maker: http://snowflakes.barkleyus.com/ .
- The Morphing of the President, from Washington to Obama (presidential history in four swift minutes, courtesy of the History News Network).

